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But it s true that exports remain the biggest risk to the outlook, said an official familiar with the BOJ s thinking.The central bank still forecasts export growth will accelerate and Kuroda s assurances that prices are on track to hit his 2 percent inflation target have prompted investors to scale back expectations of further easing later this year.But Kuroda is always careful to say the BOJ will not hesitate to ease again if its price goal is threatened.Some analysts say that if exports remain feeble, the BOJ may be forced as soon as July to expand its stimulus by ramping up its purchases of government bonds and other assets.And there are growing signs that policymakers are becoming less confident about an export upturn.The central bank s half-yearly outlook cited exports as a key threat to economic recovery, saying they may not increase strongly even as overseas demand picks up.Kuroda for all his optimism also keeps bringing up exports as a significant risk factor.Big manufacturers, too, are cautious. Toyota Motor Corp warned on Thursday its profits may fall this business year as the export tailwind that it and other Japanese carmakers have received from the yen s 18-month slide fades.That creates a communication headache for the BOJ.Preserving confidence in a sustained economic recovery is an essential part of Kuroda s strategy. Voicing doubts about a key element of that scenario too openly could hurt that confidence. 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